- ARB breaks above middle Bollinger Band and 20-week SMA, indicating a potential shift from downtrend to bullish momentum.
- On-chain data shows rising inflows after weeks of outflows, suggesting early accumulation and renewed investor interest.
- Holding above $0.40 could lead to $0.5130–$0.60; failure may see ARB retest support around $0.33 or even $0.28.
Arbitrum (ARB) is showing early signs of recovery in June 2025 following weeks of downward price pressure. After falling below $0.30 in mid-May, ARB has regained strength and is now trading around $0.4088. The price has surged by 11.88% in the past 24 hours and 11.22% over the last week.
This momentum comes as the broader market outlook shifts from bearish to bullish. At the same time, altcoins like ARB are responding with modest gains. However, bulls face notable resistance, raising questions about the sustainability of this short-term rally.
Bollinger Bands Breakout Suggests Momentum Shift
ARB has closed above the middle Bollinger Band at $0.3804. This movement often comes before a trend reversal. The upper band is at $0.5130, while the lower band is at $0.2479. The narrowing of the bands suggests that a volatile price move could be imminent.
Notably, price positioning above the middle band increases the chance of an upward swing. Further supporting this outlook is the weekly candle closing above the 20-week SMA, which marks a break from ARB’s extended downtrend.
After peaking above $2.00 in 2023, ARB has remained under selling pressure. However, the current price behavior hints at a possible relief rally. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator has slightly recovered to 57.66M, suggesting mild buying interest.
Netflows Show Accumulation Replacing Distribution
On-chain data supports the technical reversal narrative. ARB’s spot inflow/outflow chart shows a change in investor behavior from March through early June 2025. From March to May, outflows dominated, with daily net outflows ranging between -$2M and -$6M.
In mid-May, a sharp $9M outflow coincided with ARB’s drop to around $0.28. However, between June 5 and 10, positive inflows emerged, occasionally exceeding $1M daily. These inflows align with ARB’s recovery to just under $0.42.
Rising prices alongside renewed net inflows suggest that investors are cautiously returning. This inflow pattern now marks a potential turning point from extended distribution to early stage accumulation.
Key Levels to Watch
Technical breakout and positive netflows indicate a more favorable outlook for June. Holding above the $0.38–$0.40 zone remains important. Sustained momentum could push prices toward the upper Bollinger Band at $0.5130.
If broken with volume, a run toward $0.60 is possible. However, if buyers fail to hold above the 20-week SMA, a retracement toward $0.33 is likely. Renewed selling pressure could even retest support between $0.28 and $0.30.
Arbitrum’s June outlook depends heavily on volume strength and buyer commitment above $0.40. With price outlook improving and on-chain metrics turning, the next few weeks are important.
