- XRP’s price could surge over 450% if ETFs attract 15% of Bitcoin ETF inflows.
- Institutional filings signal rising confidence in XRP ETF approval this year.
- Polymarket odds show a 79% chance of XRP ETF approval by the end of 2025.
XRP could be on the brink of a massive price rally as speculation builds around the potential approval of a spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) in the United States. With regulatory concerns easing and institutional interest rising, market analysts suggest that an ETF could b e a major catalyst.
Investors are eyeing the possibility that XRP might follow in the footsteps of Bitcoin, which has seen over $39 billion in ETF inflows since early 2024. If XRP ETFs manage to capture just a portion of that capital, the digital asset’s valuation could surge, leading to dramatic price increases.
Estimating the Impact of Potential Inflows
Should XRP-focused ETFs attract just 15% of Bitcoin ETF inflows, that would equate to around $5.85 billion in new capital. When multiplied by a market impact factor of 100x, this inflow could increase XRP’s market cap by $585 billion.
Adding this to XRP’s existing $130 billion market cap would push the total to $715 billion. With a circulating supply of 58.44 billion tokens, XRP’s price could reach roughly $12.23. This would represent a 450% increase from its current value of $2.24.
If ETF inflows rise to 30% of Bitcoin’s total, or $11.7 billion, the market cap could soar by $1.17 trillion. Combined with the current valuation, this would raise XRP’s total worth to $1.3 trillion. Consequently, the price could climb as high as $22.20 per token an 900% gain from today’s level.
ETF Developments and Institutional Appetite
The push for an XRP spot ETF has accelerated throughout 2024 and 2025. Firms such as Bitwise, WisdomTree, Franklin Templeton, and 21Shares have all filed proposals.
Teucrium led the charge with the launch of its 2x Long Daily XRP ETF in April, offering leveraged exposure to XRP price movements. ProShares also introduced several futures-based XRP ETFs, although these rely on derivatives rather than direct XRP holdings.
Moreover, XRP futures have received regulatory approval through platforms like Bitnomial and CME Group, adding credibility to the asset class. Although the SEC recently delayed its decision on Franklin Templeton’s application, optimism remains high. Polymarket data now shows an 79% chance of approval by year-end.
