- Bitcoin dropped over 10% in 2025, behind gold and equities amid rising market uncertainty and fresh tariffs.
- Pompliano says Bitcoin lags gold by 100 days, often rallying harder after institutional confidence builds.
- Kiyosaki warns of a historic crash, urging attention to Bitcoin, gold, and silver as traditional wealth assets lose value.
Bitcoin has had a 10% decline in 2025, underperforming against traditional assets like gold and equities, according to multiple sources. New data from CryptoQuant shows that since the announcement of fresh tariffs, Bitcoin dropped by 16.7%, slightly recovering from a steeper 26.7% low.
However, Bitcoin is trailing behind several traditional assets. Gold rose by 12.9% in the same period, while the S&P 500 dropped by 13.8% and the Nasdaq fell by 17.5%. The U.S. Dollar Index and silver each slipped 4.8%.
This places Bitcoin in the middle of the performance spectrum. Despite some rebound, CryptoQuant notes Bitcoin’s movement lacks the characteristics of a traditional safe haven, currently sitting between Nasdaq and oil in terms of behavior.
Conflicting Safe Haven Signals Raise Questions
Bitwise pointed to a growing disconnect between rising Treasury yields and a weakening U.S. dollar, suggesting market stress. The divergence, according to Bitwise, shows confusion among traditional safe havens.
Also, Bitwise says this divergence draws attention to Bitcoin’s pattern as a sovereign-free asset. This disconnect may be fueling institutional interest in digital assets despite Bitcoin’s decline. However, uncertainty remains.
Anthony Pompliano, founder of Professional Capital Management, addressed this divergence by comparing one year returns. He pointed out that both Bitcoin and gold have each gained approximately 35% over the last twelve months, despite Bitcoin’s slow start to 2025.
Pompliano noted that gold often leads rallies during geopolitical stress due to central bank preferences. Institutional restrictions and comfort levels often keep Bitcoin on the sidelines in early stages, he explained.
Delayed Bitcoin Response Matches Historical Trend
Pompliano noted a recurring trend: Bitcoin tends to follow gold’s surge after about 100 days, often with greater intensity. This lag, he stated, can be linked to Bitcoin’s higher volatility and late institutional adoption.
He also mentioned a shift in how sovereign funds are approaching Bitcoin, favoring exposure through spot Bitcoin ETFs instead of direct ownership. This allows institutional players to avoid regulatory and geopolitical complications linked to self custody.
This supports broader patterns of institutional behavior shifting cautiously toward crypto assets. It shows increased efforts to navigate digital asset exposure without assuming full custodial risks. Pompliano noted that these patterns are quietly shaping Bitcoin’s role during uncertain times.
Kiyosaki Warns of Market Crash and Urges Attention
Rich Dad Poor Dad author, Robert Kiyosaki, expressed concern over what he describes as a historic market crash. He referenced rising demand for gold, silver, and Bitcoin, warning that the U.S. dollar faces severe pressure from central banks globally. Kiyosaki urged individuals to pay close attention to these assets, claiming traditional wealth assets are being eroded.
