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ADA Price Prediction for March 16: Can Cardano Hold Above Key Levels?

Munene Timothy by Munene Timothy
March 15, 2025
in Binance Feed, Market
Reading Time: 4 mins read
ADA Price Prediction for March 16 Can Cardano Hold Above Key Levels
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  • ADA trades at $0.7380 up by 2.53%, MVRV-Z Score at 76.5377 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, indicating possible volatility ahead.
  • ADA’s symmetrical triangle shows consolidation, with a breakout above $0.7500 potentially driving prices to $0.78-$0.80.
  • Institutional interest and a potential Cardano ETF filing support bullish sentiment, despite ADA’s 15.91% drop in trading volume.

Cardano (ADA) has rebounded by 2.53%, trading at $0.7380 at press time after dropping 9.65% last week. The price increase aligns with improving on-chain metrics, notably a positive funding rate. 

The market cap has surged to $26.01 billion, a 2.55% gain. Meanwhile, ADA’s 24-hour trading volume has dropped by 15.91% to $982.52 million, indicating reduced market activity. The token’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) is at $33.22 billion, with 35.23 billion ADA currently circulating.

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Investor sentiment is optimistic, with 89% of market participants bullish on ADA’s near-term outlook, according to CoinMarketCap data. However, price volatility persists, with ADA trading between $0.7309 and $0.7407 in the latest session. On a 4-hour timeframe, there is growing market uncertainty.

Key Technical Indicators Show Potential Breakout

ADA’s price action aligns with the Bollinger Bands. The upper band is at $0.7546, forming the resistance, while the lower band at $0.6977 is a crucial support. The middle band at $0.7262 is the dynamic support level, with ADA currently trading near this point. 

Source: TradingView

A move above $0.7546 could indicate further upside, while a drop below $0.7262 may expose the asset to downside risks. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV-Z) Score is at 76.5377, suggesting ADA is neither overbought nor oversold. 

Historically, a rise above 90.3753 indicates overbought levels, while a decline near 34.7772 indicates an accumulation phase. These levels suggest potential volatility in the coming sessions, depending on market sentiment and trading volume.

Analyst’s Longer Term View

ADA is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe according to analyst Ali, characterized by meeting trendlines. 

Source: Ali

This pattern suggests consolidation ahead of a potential breakout. The price recently dropped to a low of $0.6420 before rebounding. The upper trendline near $0.7500 presents a key resistance, while support is around $0.70-$0.68.

The analyst suggests that ADA is nearing a major breakout, and surpassing the triangle formation could result in a 15% price surge. If ADA breaks above $0.7500 with strong volume, the price could rally toward $0.78 or $0.80. 

However, a failure to hold above $0.72 may push ADA toward $0.70 or lower. Recent developments, including increased whale activity and growing institutional interest, have led to speculations around ADA’s long-term outlook. 

Additionally, asset managers have filed for a Cardano ETF with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Cardano blockchain’s ongoing network upgrades further contribute to investor confidence, supporting its position in the altcoin market. 

Tags: Cardano (ADA) NewsPrice Analysis

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