- XRP remains below the 50 and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent bearish pressure and weak short-term trend strength.
- Bollinger Bands show XRP consolidating tightly between $2.00–$2.32, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown is imminent.
- Despite shrinking volume, rising long-term holders (6.59M) reflect investor confidence amid short-term market indecision.
On June 25, at the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.17, slightly lower by 0.73% in 24 hours and 6.98% in 30 days. However, it had a small gain of 0.6% over the past week. The token rebounded from a sharp dip to $2.02 but still trades below key moving averages.
Its market cap is at $128.43 billion, with a 24-hour volume of $3.12 billion, a 35.82% decline. XRP’s fully diluted valuation was $217.9 billion, while the circulating supply reached 58.93 billion. These figures show growing caution among traders as technical pressure builds around key levels.
Price Below Moving Averages as Trend Weakness Persists
XRP is under the 50-day moving average at $2.179 and the 200-day average at $2.21, confirming continued trend resistance. The 50-day average has sloped downward since late March, suggesting persistent short-term weakness.
Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average is beginning to flatten, suggesting a possible long-term shift if XRP can rise above this level. However, XRP has failed to close above either average this week.
Adding to the caution, trading volume has dropped, currently at $3.12 billion in the past 24 hours. This shows a steady decline in activity and hints at reduced activity. Despite that, the number of total holders continues to rise and now is at 6.59 million, indicating some resilience among long-term investors.
Bollinger Bands Point to Tight Consolidation Range
Bollinger Bands show XRP trading near the middle band at $2.18. The upper band is at $2.32 and the lower band at $2.03. This narrow price range between $2.00 and $2.32 has remained intact since May.
The pattern has tightened in recent days, suggesting a breakout could follow soon. However, the price’s position near the mid level implies balanced sentiment for now.
Volume levels remain moderate at 21.53 million daily, which is below key breakout levels. The MVRV Z-score is at 28.4498, showing XRP is moderately overvalued but not in a critical danger zone. If market catalysts emerge, these metrics could shift.
Key Levels Define the Next XRP Move
Support remains near $2.03, aligned with the lower Bollinger Band, while psychological support is at the $2.00 mark. Resistance forms near $2.32, the upper band and recent price top. If XRP climbs and closes above $2.21, momentum could return. Otherwise, further rejection at the current level might invite a renewed push toward the lower support area.
Potential Price Scenarios for June 26, 2025
On the upside, XRP could rally toward $2.28–$2.32 if it breaks $2.21 on rising volume. However, failing to hold above $2.10 may drag XRP back to $2.03, possibly revisiting $1.95. XRP is trading below major moving averages with shrinking volume and tight consolidation.
Key support and resistance zones remain critical as the market awaits for a decisive breakout or breakdown. Despite weak short-term signals, long-term holder growth shows continued interest, creating a pull between bulls and bears.
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