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XRP Poised for a Macro Trend Shift as MVRV Ratio Crosses 200-Day MA

Irene Mukiri by Irene Mukiri
March 12, 2025
in Binance Feed, Market
Reading Time: 4 mins read
XRP Poised for a Macro Trend Shift as MVRV Ratio Crosses 200-Day MA
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  • XRP’s MVRV 200-day crossover signals a potential shift in market sentiment.
  • Technical indicators show bearish momentum, but a reversal could be approaching.
  • Derivatives data reveals mixed sentiment as options traders increase speculation.

XRP’s market dynamics are showing critical signs of a potential trend shift, as the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio has just crossed its 200-day moving average. According to analyst Ali Martinez, this crossover historically signals a shift in market sentiment. Whether this transition marks the start of an accumulation phase or signals a potential top depends on price stability at key levels. 

$XRP MVRV Ratio just crossed over, signaling a potential macro trend shift ahead! pic.twitter.com/eT7PIA80da

— Ali (@ali_charts) March 11, 2025

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XRP currently trades at $2.21, reflecting a 4.24% increase over the past 24 hours, though the asset has declined by 9.87% over the past week. With a circulating supply of 58 billion XRP, its market capitalization stands at $128.16 billion.

Market Indicators Suggest Uncertainty

XRP/USD daily price chart, Source: TradingView

Examining technical indicators, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.14, placing it in a neutral-to-bearish zone. If RSI drops below 30, it would indicate oversold conditions, potentially attracting buyers. 

Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a negative value, with the MACD line at -0.10234 and the signal line at -0.07976. Although bearish momentum is still present, the lines are converging, suggesting a possible reversal in the near future.

XRP Derivatives Market Highlights Mixed Sentiment

As per Coinglass data, the derivatives market provides additional insights into XRP’s price action. Trading volume has seen a sharp decline of 35.68%, dropping to $8.73 billion. However, open interest has marginally increased by 0.99% to $2.94 billion, suggesting that some traders remain engaged despite declining activity. 

Interestingly, the options market is displaying a surge in interest, with options trading volume rising by 16.45% to $4.20K, while open interest in options has increased significantly by 36.74% to $1.23 million. This divergence indicates growing speculation in the options market while futures traders remain cautious.

XRP’s Rise to Dominance

According to TheXRPguy, XRP is currently in the fifth phase of its anticipated rise to market dominance. Key milestones such as the release of RLUSD, Donald Trump’s inauguration, and regulatory changes within the SEC have already been completed. 

🚨BREAKING🚨

We are now at phase 5 of #XRP rise to dominance.

1. RLUSD is released. ✅
2. Trumps inauguration. ✅
3. Gary offically leaves SEC.✅
4. XRP Strategic Reserve ✅
5. Ripple case ends.
6. Alt season starts.
7. Ripple name big bank partnership.
8. XRP ETF…

— TheXRPguy (@TheXRP_guy) March 11, 2025

The next phases include the resolution of Ripple’s ongoing legal case, the arrival of altcoin season, and the announcement of a major banking partnership. Additionally, speculation continues to grow around the potential approval of an XRP ETF, which could serve as a catalyst for further price appreciation.

Tags: Price AnalysisRipple (XRP) News

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