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UNI Price Prediction for May 30 – Can It Break Through $7.50 Resistance?

Munene Timothy by Munene Timothy
May 29, 2025
in Market, News, Price Analysis
Reading Time: 4 mins read
UNI Price Prediction for May 30 – Can It Break Through $7.50 Resistance
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  • UNI nears key resistance at $7.388, backed by strong volume and a breakout above its 20-day SMA at $6.445.
  • 50% of Uniswap transactions now occur on Ethereum Layer-2, indicating rising protocol adoption and scalability focus.
  • MVRV Z-score at 30.230 and whale dominance suggest upside potential, but overvaluation risks and volatility remain.

Uniswap’s native token, UNI, has maintained a steady recovery since avoiding a major breakdown in April. While the broader crypto market had a stronger rebound, UNI’s upside has been more gradual. 

However, new developments within the Uniswap ecosystem have reignited investor attention. Last week, the team revealed that nearly 50% of all Uniswap transactions now occur on Ethereum Layer-2 platforms. This trend shows the increasing adoption of Ethereum scaling solutions and strengthens the protocol’s relevance in a competitive DeFi market.

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Three words:

Ethereum is scaling pic.twitter.com/NW5u7oRy2l

— Uniswap Labs 🦄 (@Uniswap) May 27, 2025

Volume Surge Supports Current Breakout Attempt

Momentum around UNI has accelerated with growing trading volume. The latest daily session saw a substantial spike in volume, aligning with a move above the 20-day SMA, currently at $6.445. 

The price has now approached the upper Bollinger Band at $7.388. Sustained volume support around this resistance level suggests that buyers are actively defending the uptrend. Technical indicators point to a shift in market behavior. 

UNI/USDT 1- day price chart, Source: TradingView

Bollinger Bands show the price pushing through the middle band and nearing the upper band. A confirmed close above $7.388 may open the path toward higher levels. However, failure to secure this level could result in short-term profit taking and renewed downward pressure.

UNI Moves Into Potential Breakout Level

UNI’s price action follows a prolonged downward stretch, which began earlier in 2025. Since late April, the token has entered a tight consolidation phase, absorbing selling pressure. A recent breakout above key resistance at $6.70–$6.80 could mark a trend reversal. A confirmation above $7.388 could validate a bullish continuation.

However, the MVRV Z-score has reached 30.230, a value suggesting rising investor confidence but also hinting at potential overvaluation risks. This metric measures how market value compares to historical fair value. Although not a definitive reversal signal, it adds a caution to the ongoing rally.

Holders’ Behavior and Market Structure 

On-chain data shows that 35% of UNI holders are in profit, while 56% remain out of profit. Notably, 83% have held UNI for over a year, showing long-term conviction. Large holders dominate the supply, with 82% of the token concentrated among them. 

UNI holder chart, Source: IntoTheBlock

Over the last week, UNI recorded $446.5 million in large transaction volume and $2.69 million in netflows. These figures support market engagement but also show that any significant movement may come from whales or long-term holders. 

The 0.72 correlation with Bitcoin indicates UNI’s price remains partially tied to broader market trends. If UNI breaks and holds above $7.388 with continued volume, it may push toward $7.70–$8.00. However, a rejection could lead to a pullback to $6.45 or $5.50.

Overall, UNI’s breakout attempt is backed by volume and bullish structural changes. Yet, on-chain signals urge careful monitoring as price hovers near key resistance.

Tags: Altcoin NewsPrice Analysis

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