- Ethereum’s weekly MACD crossover confirms bullish momentum, with histogram bars stronger than in early 2021.
- ETH surged by 171.89% from $1,440 to $2,561; chart patterns suggest a possible rally to $9,995.24 if momentum holds.
- Nearly 1M ETH withdrawn from exchanges signals smart money accumulation with potential for a parabolic breakout.
Ethereum has had a weekly MACD bullish crossover for the first time in 2025, similar to an event from early 2021. Back then, Ethereum surged over 1,800%, leading to a historic altseason.
Now, with similar technical signals flashing again, market analysts believe a major macro move could unfold. According to “Our Crypto Talk,” this signal aligns with Ethereum’s previous movement, which began with modest gains before turning parabolic.
Momentum Flip Confirmed as Weekly MACD Turns Bullish
The MACD compares short term and long term price averages to gauge momentum changes. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, especially from below zero, it often indicates increasing buying strength.
In 2025, Ethereum has just seen its first weekly bullish momentum candle, following a crossover of the MACD line above the signal line. The histogram bars show stronger momentum than those seen in early 2021.
Ethereum had sharp volatility earlier this year, with price dipping to near bear market levels in March. This contrasts with 2021, where momentum built gradually through an existing uptrend. The stronger momentum bars in 2025 indicate the intensity of recent price action.
Price Outlook Aligns With 2021 Macro Pattern
The chart shared by Our Crypto Talk compares both cycles side by side. In 2021, Ethereum’s rally began after multiple consolidation moves and a MACD crossover, eventually reaching $3,976 from a low of $213.58.
The current pattern in 2025 shows Ethereum climbing from $1,440 to $2,561.19, a 171.89% increase, followed by a breakout-like setup. According to the same source, if this structure plays out similarly, the next move could push Ethereum toward $9,995.24.
This would represent a 396.85% increase from current levels. Momentum has already flipped, but retail involvement remains limited, suggesting that the smart money may be leading early accumulation.
Critical Zones and On-Chain Shifts
Analyst Rose stated that Ethereum could resume its uptrend if it holds above its previous breakout zone. She projected possible targets of $3,063, $3,566, and $4,201 based on current structure. Meanwhile, analyst Ali noted Ethereum has turned positive on the MVRV ratio, a metric that compares market value to realized value.
In addition, nearly 1 million ETH have been withdrawn from exchanges over the past month, further supporting accumulation. The chart structure, momentum shift, and on-chain behavior show a similar outlook in 2025 as seen in the 2021 breakout.
