- Bitcoin trades above $107K as spot ETFs post a 7-week inflow streak, indicating strong institutional confidence.
- Volatility remains low across crypto markets, with BTC implied volatility under 40 and VIX near 20, despite global tension.
- Over $443M in token unlocks expected this week; key events like the Fed rate decision and protocol launches may drive momentum.
Many digital assets have posted steady gains on Monday morning, defying recent instability caused by geopolitical disruptions. The total crypto market cap rose by 0.87% to $3.31 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.
This price recovery followed sharp declines late last week, triggered by escalating Middle East tensions. Bitcoin bounced back from lows of $102.8k, trading at $107k. Other large-cap digital assets and U.S. equity futures also recovered.
QCP Broadcast noted that despite the Iran-Israel headlines, Bitcoin avoided any full-scale panic and held firm above the $100k level. Compared to similar turmoil in April last year, the 3% drop on Friday was far more muted.
Institutional Buys and Volatility Metrics Show Market Confidence
Resilience in prices was supported by continued institutional activity and a strong trend in ETF inflows. Companies like Metaplanet and Strategy continued accumulating Bitcoin, while spot BTC ETFs logged their seventh straight week of inflows.
Meanwhile, implied volatility across crypto markets stayed unusually low. BTC frontend implied volatility remained below 40, while the VIX index was around 20. Both indicators suggest investor sentiment is calm, even as geopolitical risks escalate.
Additionally, the U.S. Treasuries and Asian bonds received inflows, showing that investors have not yet shifted fully into risk-off positions. Despite cautious sentiment, Bitcoin’s performance aligns with ongoing capital inflows into digital asset investment products.
These products saw $1.9 billion in inflows last week alone. This is the ninth consecutive week of inflows, totaling $13.2 billion year-to-date. Bitcoin led the recovery with $1.3 billion in inflows. Ethereum followed with $583 million, its strongest weekly gain since February. Even XRP reversed recent whale outflows, posting $11.8 million in new inflows.
High Trader Profits and Regional Inflows
Activity on trading platforms also showed notable profitability. As per DeFi Mochi, 170 traders on Hyperliquid achieved over $10 million in profits. More than 1,500 users recorded profits exceeding $1 million.
Interestingly, most traders with over $10 million in profits posted returns below 200%, suggesting substantial starting capital. This aligns with continued institutional interest in high-leverage platforms and deeper liquidity access.
Regionally, U.S. inflows accounted for $1.9 billion last week, followed by Germany, Switzerland, and Canada. However, Hong Kong and Brazil experienced $56.8 million and $8.5 million in outflows, respectively.
Short-bitcoin products saw minor inflows of $3.7 million, though their total assets remain low at $96 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s $2 billion cumulative inflow now represents 14% of its total assets under management.
What Next? Events and Unlock Schedules
The week ahead may see further changes as key events unfold across markets. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on 18 June remains the top focus. According to Polymarket, there is a 97.5% chance of no change in rates.
Several crypto-specific developments are also expected. The Arbitrum DeFi Incentive vote concludes on 20 June, while Sonic’s Season 2 Airdrop starts 18 June. Starknet’s Staking v2 is set to launch within the week.
Additionally, the GENIUS Act heads for a U.S. Senate vote on 17 June. Token unlocks will also be an important factor this week. According to Tokenomist, more than $443 million worth of tokens will enter circulation.
One-time unlocks above $5 million include FTN, ARB, ZK, S, and MELANIA. Tokens with daily linear unlocks over $1 million include SOL, DOGE, AVAX, and ETHFI. Sonic clarified these tokens are newly minted and not from existing supplies.
Overall, Crypto markets are defying the increased global tension with surprising composure. Institutional buying, rising ETF inflows, and steady volatility levels show investor confidence. Despite external risks, regional inflow trends and platform activity indicate sustained interest. Meanwhile, macro events, protocol updates, and large unlocks could influence momentum in the coming days.
