- Bitcoin may rally to $200K by 2025, driven by four-year cycle and halving trend
- Long-term holders and record Realized Cap support bullish Bitcoin price outlook
- FOMC tone could drive Bitcoin above $110K or trigger a dip below $100K level
Bitcoin is back in the spotlight as market analysts project a strong uptrend heading into 2025. According to recent forecasts by CryptoQuant, the world’s largest cryptocurrency could surge to $200,000 by next year. This prediction builds on Bitcoin’s well-known four-year cycle marked by three years of growth and one year of cooldown.
If history repeats itself, 2025 could represent the third consecutive year of gains. The data suggests a potential price rally of over 120%, taking Bitcoin from its current range of $93,000 to a record-breaking $205,000.
Historical Patterns Fuel Optimism
The prediction isn’t just based on speculation. Analysts highlight the “Yearly Percentage Trend” metric, which reflects Bitcoin’s recurring bullish behavior following halving events. With 2022 registering as a red year, 2023 and 2024 already closed in the green.
If the pattern continues, 2025 could deliver the final leg of this bullish phase. Crypto strategist Crypto Patel echoes this sentiment, calling it the last big rally before a likely correction in 2026. His model suggests that once Bitcoin closes above $93,758, the price floor will never revisit that level again.
HISTORY REPEATS — BUT STRONGER 🚀
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) June 17, 2025
Every #Bitcoin cycle follows the same beast pattern:
🟥 1 red yearly candle
✅ Followed by 3 MASSIVE green yearly candles.
2022 was red.
2023 = green ✅
2024 = green ✅
2025? Already green — and we’re just getting started.
If 2025 closes green… pic.twitter.com/VBVZN5tjeX
Moreover, the macroeconomic backdrop is playing its part. Realized Cap metrics have reached all-time highs, adding confidence to the bull case. Bitcoin’s circulating supply remains tight, while long-term holders continue to accumulate. This blend of technical and behavioral indicators is strengthening the argument for a major breakout.
FOMC Decision: A Crucial Trigger
In the short term, market participants are watching the U.S. Federal Reserve closely. Data from Crypto Patel suggests, the FOMC will announce its interest rate decision later today.
📢 Big Market Update – #FOMC Meeting Today
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) June 18, 2025
The U.S. Federal Reserve (FOMC) will announce their decision on interest rates today. This is a big event that can affect the entire market — from #Bitcoin and #Crypto to stocks, gold, and oil.
What’s Expected:
▪️ Fed is likely to keep… pic.twitter.com/d6DrZ2leq4
While no rate changes are expected, the tone of the statement could sway investor sentiment. A dovish stance could fuel a rally past $110,000, while a hawkish one might pull Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark. Current market support levels lie between $102,000 and $104,000, while resistance is pegged around $110,000 to $112,000.
