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Bitcoin’s MVRV Dead Cross Triggers Sell-Off – Will BTC Hold Above $81K?

Veronicah Peninah by Veronicah Peninah
March 31, 2025
in Binance Feed, Market
Reading Time: 3 mins read
Bitcoin’s MVRV Dead Cross Triggers Sell-Off – Will BTC Hold Above $81K
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  • When short-term and long-term moving averages cross each other this indicates short-term holders will likely record losses which could boost the selling volume.
  • The Bitcoin price may experience additional drops according to previous MVRV dead cross events from 2021 and 2022 which predicted major market downturns.
  • The market needs confirmation about a bottom because Bitcoin resides at $81,496 while traders monitor its movement towards the 1.72 MVRV level or descent.

Market Value to Realized Value ratio now shows a bearish development after its crucial “dead cross” formation. The technical signal signals future downside pressure through the intersection of two moving average lines where the shorter term DMA falls beneath the extended term DMA. The event, which materialized in early March, raises concerns about Bitcoin’s ability to sustain its recent price levels.

Currently,Bitcoin is trading  at $ 81,416.81 with a 24-hour trading volume of $ 28.91B, market cap of $ 1.62T, and market dominance of 61.15%. During the last day Bitcoin experienced a decline in value that reached -2.32%.

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Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio Nears Critical Level

The MVRV ratio is a key on-chain metric used to assess whether Bitcoin holders are in profit or loss. A high MVRV ratio reveals excessive market heat during which most crypto investors achieve profits before a price decline occurs. 

The market operates through low MVRV ratios because it signals undervalued conditions that could lead to buying prospects. Short-term holders are experiencing rising losses according to recent cross-movement between short-term and long-term moving averages thus causing additional selling pressure.

Source:(X)

According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin price activities in connection to the MVRV ratio are approaching its previous average of 1.72. Throughout history this level operated as an indicator to reveal that Bitcoin prices have escaped the area of price volatility but has not shown evidence of recovery to past levels. Market players observe the ratio to see if it remains stable or descends further because these developments will likely maintain negative market sentiment.

Historical Context and Future Projections

Historical occurrences of the MVRV dead cross led to prolonged price correction phases. History has shown such patterns in both 2021 and 2022 when they resulted in major market downturns. The price of Bitcoin might experience additional drops before it enters a new time of accumulation according to historical patterns. 

Traders along with investors maintain a cautious approach as Bitcoin maintains around $82,000 value .Present volatility conditions indicate possible upcoming tests of lower market zones before reaching a confirmed bottom signal.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC) News

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