- Bitcoin’s market cap surge signals a potential breakout above $100K soon.
- Adjusted cycle models highlight ongoing bullish trend despite traditional signals.
- Whale accumulation and rising greed suggest Bitcoin is poised for major gains.
Bitcoin’s current market structure is pointing toward a strong continuation of its bullish cycle, despite concerns from traditional cycle models. Historically, long-term moving average models have struggled to adapt to sudden market shifts. Consequently, many analysts argue that these models now appear outdated.
With Bitcoin’s market cap surging and investor behavior shifting rapidly, it is becoming clear that the conventional signals suggesting a downturn may no longer apply. Instead, growing evidence shows that Bitcoin is setting the stage for another major rally.
Traditional Cycle Models Struggle in Fast-Moving Markets
CryptoQuant data, once considered a reliable guide to Bitcoin’s long-term cycles, now seems outpaced by recent developments. CEO Ju’s model had indicated the end of the bullish cycle. However, market behavior is suggesting otherwise. In fact, rather than a sell-off, recent price movements are aligning with historical buying opportunities.
Besides, cycle models based solely on long-term averages lag during sharp market shifts. They signal a trend reversal only after prices reach new highs. This limitation makes them less useful for proactive trading. Hence, relying solely on these models can leave investors late to the market.
To address this flaw, experts adjusted the cycle models to react faster to market changes. The result shows that Bitcoin is still within an ongoing upward trend. When compared to 2017’s cycle, today’s structure feels remarkably similar. Importantly, signs of a major downtrend, like those in past bear markets, are absent.
Analysts See Rising Investor Confidence and Whale Accumulation
Ali Martinez, a leading crypto analyst, highlights growing investor greed as Bitcoin eyes a potential breakout above $100,000. Recently, Bitcoin’s price surged from approximately $85,000 to $94,735, displaying renewed strength. Moreover, the Fear & Greed Index shows a shift from fear to greed, indicating bullish sentiment.
Investors are starting to feel greedy! #Bitcoin $BTC pic.twitter.com/Z4bsGjyUdK
— Ali (@ali_charts) April 27, 2025
Additionally, Martinez notes that Bitcoin’s Accumulation Trend Score is nearing 1. This signal reflects intense buying by strong holders, a condition seen before major rallies. The price consolidated between $90,000 and $100,000 for months. However, the recent spike in accumulation suggests a breakout above $105,000 could soon happen.
The #Bitcoin $BTC Accumulation Trend Score is nearing 1, signaling intense accumulation and strong holder conviction. pic.twitter.com/Y8LaGiroXz
— Ali (@ali_charts) April 27, 2025
Significantly, nearly 100 new entities holding over 1,000 Bitcoin have entered the network since late January. This trend points to increased confidence among large investors. As a result, whale accumulation is providing strong foundational support.
With key support at $80,000 and resistance at $105,000, Bitcoin appears poised for another powerful upward phase.
Moreover, today’s Bitcoin market cap stands at approximately $1.88 trillion, with a circulating supply of 20 million coins. Hence, with solid technical support and increasing accumulation, Bitcoin could be entering the final, most explosive stage of its current cycle.
