- Analyst says crypto follows liquidity cycles with a 3-month lag, unaffected by U.S.-China trade conflicts.
- Bitcoin reached $94.5K as traders responded to Trump’s tariff comments and softening stance on monetary policy.
- QCP sees BTC holding the $90K–$94.5K range with $95K call options dominating April and May trading flow.
Bitcoin’s recent climb shows growing divergence from traditional finance, as global liquidity and whale-driven accumulation take the lead. According to analyst MartyParty, geopolitical tensions such as the ongoing U.S.-China trade friction do not affect crypto pricing directly.
Instead, these events shake traditional markets while crypto follows broader liquidity cycles with a lag of about three months. This delay, he noted, aligns with distribution phases where large holders accumulate Bitcoin under a Wyckoff strategy.
Crypto Ignores Trade Friction, Follows Liquidity Patterns
MartyParty stated that global uncertainty, including trade conflicts, weakens equities, forex, and commodities, but often benefits Bitcoin instead. He emphasized that Bitcoin operates as a hedge during uncertain periods and typically detaches from traditional financial market behavior.
Crypto markets move based on available liquidity, not on trade deals or policy disputes, which tend to impact human-driven assets. MartyParty warned against over analyzing geopolitical headlines when interpreting Bitcoin’s moves.
While equities react sharply to policy shifts or negotiations, Bitcoin’s performance connects closely to underlying liquidity conditions. He explained that crypto’s structure allows for delayed responses to liquidity changes, enabling whales to accumulate during traditional market weakness.
This liquidity-first narrative has positioned Bitcoin as a non-correlated asset during high-stress macro events. MartyParty underlined that global financial uncertainty serves as a backdrop for crypto growth rather than a threat.
Trade Pause Lifts Broader Sentiment
QCP Broadcast reported that markets welcomed President Trump’s softer stance on China and Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The President called for lower tariffs on Chinese goods and paused his pressure on monetary policy.
These remarks helped ease investor concerns and boosted broader risk appetite across markets. Bitcoin reacted by surging to a high of $94.5K, with the rally stretching to a fifth consecutive day.
This momentum briefly made BTC the world’s fifth-largest asset by market capitalization, overtaking Alphabet before slipping to seventh. Although Bitcoin later settled near $93K, the high indicated its growing role as a top-tier asset.
Bitcoin’s $90K–$94.5K Range
QCP noted that positioning has become more crowded, with $95K call options dominating end-April and May flows. Optimism remains strong, but many traders expect a consolidation phase unless a fresh catalyst appears.
Analysts expect Bitcoin to remain within a tight range while global liquidity conditions continue to influence long term direction. With macro risks cooling, Bitcoin’s price may remain stable, though any sharp positioning shifts could trigger stronger reactions.
